Feb 13

As if in response to Frontline’s finding that nuclear scientist Massoud Ali Mohammadi, killed by a remote control bomb last month, was a victim of the Iranian governmet,  The Economist, leans the other way–to the West.

“It is no secret that America, Israel and European countries are seeking to impede Iran’s nuclear plans, overtly and covertly. Yet the assassination theory was widely dismissed. The professor’s known works on particle and theoretical physics did not seem central to Iran’s nuclear programme. And his name had appeared on a list of Iranian academics favouring Iran’s protest movement. So, ran the prevailing theory, Israel or America had little reason to kill him, though Iranian hardliners may have wanted to do so.

But listen to the whispers of Western spies and diplomats, and the Iranian regime may turn out to be right. Well-placed sources in two Western countries now say the professor was “one of the most important people involved in the programme.”

This is lightly sourced but The Economist is veddy conservative and wouldn’t indict Western powers lightly. This remains a most puzzling case.

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Feb 12

“The media will tell us much about Iran’s supposed military and nuclear capabilities in the coming weeks and months, if ultimatums and deadlines continue. But for Iran and its neighbors, and the entire region, the far more momentous question is the following: can this rigid authoritarian system reform itself? For more than one country, Iran’s domestic reverberations and their endgame are far more worrying than its nuclear chess game.”

via Beirut’s  The Daily Star.

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Feb 12

in the European media.

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Feb 11

Four thousand people chanting “death to the dictator” is not a sign of regime stability. As Iran boasts of another nuclear achievement,  communal pride in the country’s scientific prowess translate into political stability.

The state controlled media presnts the parade commemorating the 31st anniversary of the Iranian revolution as a walk of unity with a “final” message for the opposition. But with Persian2English reporting plainclothes police targetting anti-government demonstrators with paintballs, the government’s posture is aggressive and defensive.

For the incumbent powers, the  problem is where to crack down?  The political fissures go right tot the top.

Meanwhile in Israel, a common view is that attacking Iran is less risky than letting it obtain nuclear weapons. From this perspective,  the Iran’s democratic movement  isn’t a factor. Its an IDF target too.

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Feb 09

And this talk isn’t from some yammering right-wing blog. The story comes from the  hard-line Fars news agency. As explained by  roozonline.com.

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Feb 08

Will Israel attack? asks Ya Libnan. Maybe. Maybe not. But everybody in Lebanon is preparing.

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Feb 08

Who killed Dr. Masoud Ali Mohammadi?

More than a few commentators, and the Iranian government,  blamed Israel for the remote control bombing that killed an Iranian nuclear socientist in January. Friends of Israel did not seem bothered by the allegation. In Haaretz, Yossi Melman attributed his murder to “opponents of Iran’s nuclear program.”

Israel acted in a similar fashion during the 1960s against German scientists working to develop missiles in Egypt, and during the 1970s against various scientists. These included Egyptians and the Canadian scientist Gerald Bull who worked on Iraq’s nuclear and missile projects under Saddam Hussein.

But Frontline’s Tehran Bureau, came out with a better-sourced narrative last month, reportings that  Ali-Mohammadi was supporter of the Iran’s reformist Green Movement, was knowledgeable about the dual-use technologies, and interested in visiting the West.

In sum, the new information on Professor Ali-Mohammadi’s background and the circumstances surrounding his murder, and the fact that he had turned against the hardliners and had become a strong supporter of the Green Movement, all point in one direction: the likelihood that he was killed by hardliners terrified by the prospect that he might disclose information on Iran’s nuclear program.

This is hardly the final word on a murky crime but it has more more convincing reporting to back it up.

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Feb 08

Its the 31st anniversary of the Revolution. In anticipation, the government installs security cameras ( thanks to Persian2English) and plays the Palestinian card.

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Feb 08

Presumably because they are more of a pain to Israel. From the Pew Global Attitudes Project, these and other nuggets.

  • Palestinian president Mahmoud Abbas is losing popularity at home and abroad.
  • Even before their disputed elections last year, both Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad were generally unpopular.  Ahmadinejad’s highest ratings are in the Palestinian territories (45% confidence) and Indonesia (43%), although even among these publics fewer than half express a positive view of his leadership.
  • There is no country in which even 40% express confidence in Karzai. In Pakistan (10%), Turkey (7%) and Lebanon (7%) one-in-ten or fewer hold this view of Washington’s favorite Afghan.
  • And there’s a couple of pockets of support for Osama. Continue reading »
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Feb 06

Arshin Adib-Moghaddam notes a mistake often made in Washington.

the legitimate yearnings for democracy and justice by Iranians are misinterpreted as a rebellion against Iran’s bias toward the Palestinian cause or indeed Islam itself,

And

the opposition figures, Mousavi, Mehdi Karroubi, Mohammad Khatami and most notably Ayatollah Ali Akbar Rafsanjani, emerged out of the revolution and would never devour the project they have been busy building up. They are disciples of the Islamic Republic, and they are revealing themselves as such at this very moment.

True?

via bitterlemons-international.org.

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