The pleasant notion that the Israeli-Palestinian “peace process” will make “progress” has receded. PALESTINE CRY notes “newspapers from the region [outside of Israel] are in agreement that Israel is acting to escalate the conflict and foment a war in the region.”
The ‘two state solution’ in its death throes
The damage the drones do
With President Obama’s ongoing escalation of the drone war in Pakistan, the question is which is hurt more by the aerial attacks: al-Qaeda’s leadership or the United States’ standing in Pakistan? As former ambassador Tayyab Siddiqui, a columnist for the News, one of Pakistan’s leading newspapers, notes the answer is obvious, at least in Pakistan.
….last year, there were 44 drone attacks, killing only five key Al Qaeda targets but the civilian casualties exceeded 700 Pakistanis. Passionate appeals have been made to all the visitors from the US – Congressmen, officials, military brass and others that these attacks must stop. Pakistan is absolutely critical for US strategy in the region and its war against terror is solely dependent on Pakistanis’ cooperation. Pakistan must spell out to the Obama Administration that any more cooperation with the US would be subject to US meeting Pakistanis’ concerns.
There’s no evidence that is going to happen. From the point of view of U.S. policymakers, this isn’t a dilemma. In Washington, the answer is equally obvious, though diametrically opposed, to Pakistan’s: the battlefield advantages outweigh the political costs. In the short run, that is surely true. In the long run, it depends on ignoring Pakistani democracy.
Obama’s fearsome foursome
From London, they look like a narrow pipeline to the President– FT.com
Ignoring Somalia?
The most familiar complaint of aspiring policymamkers in Washington is full-throat lament that the world (or at least the handful of people who run it) are “ignoring” some key problem and its worthy victims.
WOS finds the feeling that Somalia is being ignored is common in the East Africa media.
But Sahel blog begs to differ:
The US conducts missile strikes there. Ethiopian forces intervene regularly. Kenya keeps a close eye on its neighbor. The AU has peacekeepers there. Eritrea supports rebel factions. And were it not for outside intervention – specifically the 2006 invasion by Ethiopia – Somalia might be in better shape today. Yes, the UN could send in 5,000 peacekeepers – but if 200,000 would be needed to establish real peace, then what would be the point of a smaller number?
Another war in the Middle East?
WOS finds plenty of talk about it among the region’s most credible news organizations.

The persistent fantasy
Foreign Policy’s useful survey Who Wants to Bomb Iran? offers more evidence of one of the most peculiar fantasies in U.S. opinion making circles: that democratic forces in Iran would welcome–or not object to–a U.S/Israeli attack on their country’s nuclear facilities. The chairman of the US military’s Joint Chiefs of Staff, Admiral Mike Mullen is under no such illusions so the phenomenon is less a political danger than an interesting species of American provincialism which assumes the benevolence of U.S.-inflicted violence is apparent to its victims.
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